The following are provided by the Fiji Meteorological Service: Check their website for any current warnings or alerts.
Highlights:
ENSO-neutral conditions currently exist in the tropical Pacific Ocean and there are chances for the event to persist through the May to July 2025 period, with global models favoring the continuation of neutral status until the end of 2025.
During May 2025, normal or above normal rainfall is likely across the Fiji Group, as well as Rotuma.
For May to July 2025 period, normal or above normal rainfall is likely across the Fiji Group.
For August to October 2025 period, there is little guidance provided, as there are almost equal chances of below normal, normal and above normal rainfall across the Fiji Group.
On May temperatures, both day and night time temperatures are likely to be above normal across the Fiji Group.
For May to July 2025 period, both day and night time temperatures are likely to be above normal across the Fiji Group.
Even though May to July is within Fiji’s Dry Season, normal or above normal rainfall remains likely due to other climate influences.
The 2024-25 tropical cyclone season ends at the end of April. However, out of season tropical cyclones cannot be ruled out.
READ FULL REPORT
ENSO status continues to be neutral, however, models favours equal chances of ENSO-neutral or La Niña in February to April 2025, with models favouring ENSO-neutral status in March to May 2025.
Above normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are likely across the Fiji Waters during April to June 2025.
The average position of the 29°C South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is likely to be displaced south of its normal position, close to Fiji’s EEZ, during April to June 2025.
The 8 weeks coral bleaching outlook is at ‘Alert Level 2’ for waters around Rotuma, ‘Watch’ is in place for waters around Vanua Levu, while ‘No stress’ is in place for the rest of the Fiji.
Below normal sea level likely for the Fiji Group, while near normal sea level is likely for Rotuma, during the April to June 2025 period.
READ FULL REPORT
Highlights:
Rainfall Status until March 2025:
On 3-month timescale, Seriously Wet condtions exist in parts of the Lomaiviti Group, Kadavu, Matuku, Yasayasa Moala and Vanuabalavu, Very Wet conditions exist in Lakeba and parts of the southern Lau Group, including Ono-i-Lau, while there are No Extreme in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.
For the 6-month timescale, Seriously Wet conditions exist in parts of the Lomaiviti Group, Kadavu, Yasayasa Moala and Ono-i-Lau, Very Wet conditions exist in Vanuabalavu, Lakeba and parts of Lau Group, while there are No Extreme alert in place for the rest of the country.
On 12-month timescale, Seriously Wet conditions exist in Ono-i-Lau; Very Wet conditions exist in some parts of Kadavu, Yasayasa Moala and Gau Island, while there are No Extreme alert in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.
Rainfall Outlook:
For 15th to 28th April, there is a medium chance of Very Dry condition for the Western, Central, Eastern Divisions, as well as most parts of the Northern Division, while there is a medium chance of Very Wet condition for Rotuma. There is No Extreme conditions in place for rest of the Fiji Group.
For April, there is a high chance of Very Dry condition for Ono-i-Lau and interior parts of southern Viti Levu, medium chance of Very Dry condition for most parts of the Fiji Group, while there is a medium chance of Very Wet condition for Rotuma. No Extreme alert is in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.
For April to June 2025, there is a medium chance of Very Dry condition for the Western, Central, Eastern Divisions and most parts of the Northern Division, while there is a high chance of Very Wet condition for Rotuma. There is No Extreme conditions in place for the rest of the country.
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Status: ENSO-neutral in place
READ FULL REPORT
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Status:
READ FULL REPORT
In Brief
The amount of rain observed across the country during March varied considerably, ranging from well below average to well above average rainfall. The month started off with the presence of Ex-TC Seru, resulting in localized heavy rainfall, with flash flooding reported in some parts of the Western Division.
Overall, out of the 25 rainfall monitoring stations that were analyzed, 1 station recorded well above average, 3 above average, 14 average, 6 below average, and 1 station with well below average rainfall (Table 2, Figures 15). The highest monthly rainfall of 789.5mm was record ed at Nadarivatu, followed by 481.0mm at Nasinu, 417.9mm at Koronivia, 413.4mm at Vunisea, 409.8mm at Nausori Airport, 403.8mm at Matuku, and 399.1mm at Ono-i-Lau.
On temperatures, the month’s highest day-time temperature of 36.4°C was observed at Korolevu on the 27th, followed by Yasawa-i-Rara with 35.7°C on the 23rd, Navua with 34.7°C on the 6th, Koronivia with 34.2°C on the 6th, and Laucala Bay (Suva) with 34.1°C on the 6th. The low est night-time temperature of 16.4°C was recorded at Nadarivatu on the 22nd, followed by Monasavu with 18.1°C on the 23rd, Lautoka with 19.0°C on the 30th, Vanuabalavu with 19.5°C on the 21st, and Vunisea with 20.0°C on the 3rd.
Southeasterly winds were dominant at Nadi Airport, Savusavu Airfield and Matei Airfield, while northwesterly winds were dominant at Nausori Airport (Figure 7). Warmer than normal sea surface temperature anomalies were observed across the Fiji Waters (Figure 8), with above normal cloud cover present over the country (Figure 9). Above normal sea level anomalies persisted during March (Figure 10). Flash flooding was experienced in some parts of the Western Division (Figure 12a-12c). Coastal inundation occurred in Rakiraki village, Kadavu (Figure 13a-13c).
READ FULL REPORT