Fiji Weather Updates

The following are provided by the Fiji Meteorological Service: Check their website for any current warnings or alerts.

Fiji Climate Outlook for NOVEMBER 2023

Highlights:
El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a moderate El Niño state.
Rainfall activity is expected to pick up during the wet season in November, but the current El Niño event is likely to suppress the usual rainfall.
During November 2023, below normal rainfall is likely for the Fiji Group. Near normal or above normal rainfall is likely for Rotuma.
For November 2023 to January 2024 period, below normal rainfall is likely for the Fiji Group. Near normal or above normal rainfall is likely for Rotuma.
During February to April 2024, below normal rainfall is likely for the Fiji Group, while near normal or above normal rainfall is likely for Rotuma. However, as we are now in the tropical cyclone season, development of a tropical disturbance or depression, can result in normal or above normal rainfall, during the above mentioned periods.
During November, maximum temperature is likely to be near normal across most of the Fiji Group, with above normal across Western Division and at Rotuma.Night time temperatures are likely to be near normal over the Fiji Group, with above normal temperatures likely at Rotuma.
For November 2023 to January 2023, maximum temperature is likely to be above normal across most of the Fiji Group, with Rotuma, while near normal temperature is likely across the Eastern Division. Night time temperatures are likely to be above normal across the Western and Northern Divisions and at Rotuma, while near normal temperatures are likely across the Central and Eastern Divisions.
Overall, the current El Niño event is expected to gradually strengthen through to the December 2023 to February 2024 period.
Historically, Fiji  experiences below normal rainfall during an El Niño event.
READ FULL REPORT – FIJI CLIMATE OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 2023

Fiji Ocean Outlook for OCTOBER 2023

· Moderate El Niño conditions prevail in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
· The current El Niño is expected to gradually strengthen through to the December 2023 to February 2024 period.
· Near normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are likely in the Fiji Waters during November 2023 to January 2024.
· The average position of the 29°C fisheries convergence zone is likely to be displaced south of its normal position, close to Fiji’s EEZ, during the November 2023 to January 2024 period.
· The 4, 8 and 12 weeks coral bleaching outlook is at ‘No Stress’ across Fiji Waters.
· Sea level is likely to be near normal across Fiji Waters during the November 2023 to January 2024 period.
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Early Action Rainfall Watch for OCTOBER 2023

Rainfall Status to SEPTEMBER 2023:
· For 3-month timescale, Seriously Wet conditions exist across the Central Division, most parts of the Western Division, Vatulele, Beqa and Kadavu. Very Wet conditions exist across the Lomaiviti Group and Ono-i-Lau. There is No Extreme condition in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.
· At 6-month timescale, Very Wet conditions exist for Yasawa and some parts of Vatulele. There is No Extreme condition in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.
· On the 12-month timescale, Seriously Wet conditions exist for Vatulele and Kadavu, Very Wet conditions exist for most parts of the Western Division, Viwa, some parts of the Lomaiviti Group, Matuku and Ono-i-Lau, while there is No Extreme conditions in place for the rest of the Fiji Group.

Rainfall Outlook:
·· From 8th to 21st October, there is a high chance of Very Dry conditions across Udu Point and parts of Taveuni. There is a medium chance of Very Dry conditions for most parts of Vanua Levu, Vanuabalavu, Lakeba, Lomaiviti Group, northern parts of Yasawa, Yaqara, Penang, Dobuilevu, some parts of the Central Division and interior parts of Viti Levu.
· For October, there is a high chance of Very Dry conditions for Seaqaqa, Labasa, Savusavu, Udu Point, Taveuni, Vanuabalavu, Lakeba, and northern Lau Group. There is a medium chance of Very Dry conditions for the Western and Central Divisions, Nabouwalu, Lomaiviti Group, Kadavu, Moala Group, and southern Lau Group.
· For October to December 2023, there is a medium chance of Very Dry conditions across the Fiji Group. There is a medium chance of Very Wet conditions across Rotuma.

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Status: Weak El Niño

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Rainfall Status to SEPTEMBER 2023:


El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Status:
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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Update – JULY 2023




ENSO Update JULY 2023

Fiji Climate Summary for JULY 2023





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